| Score Range | Signal | Trading days | Median 12M | Bad case (P10) | Good case (P75) | Chance of 15%+ return | Chance of <7% return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80-100 | Rare opportunity | 82 | +57.7% | +20% | +65% | 99% | 0% |
| 70-79 | Very attractive | 162 | +17.1% | +5% | +25% | 55% | 14% |
| 60-69 | Attractive | 381 | +15.1% | +2% | +28% | 50% | 25% |
| 35-59 | Average | 1,324 | +11.8% | -4% | +25% | 42% | 35% |
| 0-34 | Below average | 938 | +8.5% | -4% | +15% | 27% | 46% |
Based on 2,887 trading days of daily backtested data (2012-2026). Same formula that runs live, no adjustments.
Check the Shift Score before deploying any available money. It tells you which zone the market is in and how much to consider investing.
Markets can move sharply. If you want to catch opportunities mid-month, check back when you hear about a market dip. A higher zone means more attractive entry.
Don't want to check manually? We'll email you when the score enters the Very Attractive or Rare Opportunity zone. Just Get notified →
The suggested action (e.g. "Deploy 10-15%") reflects how similar conditions performed historically. Your actual decision can differ based on your risk appetite and financial situation.
Markets can fall further even at score 80. The framework is designed for a 12-month horizon.
Your regular SIP continues unconditionally. This is only about additional surplus.
Never. A low score (0-30) simply indicates below-average market conditions historically. Your base SIP runs always, in all conditions. SIPshift is only for deciding about additional surplus capital.
It updates every trading day. But meaningful changes happen over weeks, not hours. Checking once a month before investing any surplus is sufficient.
PE tells you if the market is cheap. But cheap markets can stay cheap for months. The additional factors identify when fear is high enough and momentum has shifted to create actual entry points.
That's normal and expected. The score measures probability over 12 months, not next week. In our 14-year backtest, 99% of score-70+ entries gave positive returns within 12 months.
Yes. Completely free. No premium tier, no hidden paywall. Updated daily on sipshift.in.
Get emailed when the score reaches historically unusual levels.